In this issue of the MaxOut Savings Report we will go
over common problems in 401(k), 403(b), 457 and other qualified plans. The credit crisis has caused huge damage
to many 401(k) plans and setback many people’s retirement plans. We have found, with some planning, your savings
plan can be protected from future crises.
As more companies
are eliminating their pension plans and converting to a 401(k) or other qualified plans, it is forcing more employees to manage
their own retirement plans. It has been our experience that managing a 401(k) is not that difficult if many common mistakes
are avoided. At MaxOut Savings Advisors, LLC we have found that your savings rate is the biggest contributor and determinant
of a successful retirement plan. The next most important determinant is how you manage the assets in your plan.
Remember, a successful retirement now requires you to take charge of your retirement plan. Successful management of
your 401(k) requires a plan and avoiding these common mistakes.
1. Failure
to Participate. This financial crisis is no reason to not be participating in your company savings plan.
If you quit participating in your savings plan you will never have a safe retirement. In some plans, fewer than 65% of the
employees contribute anything to their 401(k) plan. This is self explanatory; you will find it very difficult to retire
successfully if you do not participate in your company’s 401(k) plan. This is especially true now that many companies
have eliminated pension plans and have replaced it with a 401(k) plan. Some common reasons for not participating are
not having enough money, saving for a house, or fear of the stock market. There is never a good reason to not participate
in your company plan. If you cannot hit our goal of 10% plus a company match, then start at 5% and work your way up.
If you are worried about the stock markets, put all new money in a money market fund or stable demand option.
2. Not Saving Enough for Retirement. Your savings
rate is the single biggest determinant of a successful retirement plan. What is your savings rate for your company plan?
Are you saving enough for retirement? Our goal is to have everyone saving at least 10% of their income plus the company
match for retirement. If you are saving under 10% of your income, you should look at your retirement needs and run a
calculation to see if there is a need to increase your savings rate. Remember, even if one cannot get to the target
savings level needed, every little bit helps. If need be, increase your savings 1% at a time until you reach your target
savings level. If you are over 45 years old and are behind in savings, you should look to increase your savings rate
to 15%. We see many people saving 20% of their income to catch up as they get closer to retirement.
3. Not Collecting Free Money. In most 401(k) plans,
the company will match your contribution up to a certain percentage. The match will typically be 50%-100% match up to
a set point. This is like getting a bonus 50%-100% return on your money; take advantage of the offer and collect all
the “free money” offered. The one caveat is that in many plans, there is a vesting clause that requires
a certain length of service to the company. Remember, at a minimum your savings rate should be at a level to collect
100% of that company match.
4. Failure
to Asset Allocate. The Debt Bubble should have taught most people this lesson. Proper asset allocation
is the hallmark of a good 401(k) plan. We asset allocate to grow the portfolio and, at the same time, reduce risk.
We find that many investors overweight stocks and do not have a cash component to their investment strategy. What saved
many investors in this recent market collapse was increasing their cash weightings of their 401(k) plans. In 2008, cash,
or money funds, was one of the very few assets that outperformed and had positive returns. There was a reason that we
said cash would be king for 2008. Remember, the football teams that go to the Super Bowl are often the ones with a good
defense. Defense wins championships and reduces risk in investment portfolios. Your plan should have the proper
mix of stocks, bonds, cash, and international assets prudent for your expected retirement time frame. At MaxOut Savings
Advisors, LLC we generally start with a 60% stock and 40% bond weighting and adjust the asset mix from there. This mixture
of assets reduces the risk that any one asset decline will wipe out your investment portfolio.
5. Overweight Company Stock or Industry. The employees
of Bear Stearns owned 30% of the company stock; after the firm collapsed within one week, many of them were wiped out.
The lesson learned from Enron was that it is dangerous to have too much company stock in your 401(k) plan. We would
recommend a maximum of 20% of your portfolio in the company stock. This is higher than some recommend and takes into
account the fact that some people want to have a vested interest in the growth of their firm. In Houston, being an energy
city, it is easy to overweight the oil industry stocks. Still, this should be avoided; just look what happened in the
technology industry. The 401(k) plan should be rebalanced quarterly to prevent over allocation of your firm’s
stock or industry.
6. Failure to Rebalance
Plan. A recent Fidelity Investments study of 401(k) plans found that 85% of the participants failed to
make any changes or rebalance there plans on an annual basis. In these uncertain financial times you should review,
rebalance and make any necessary changes on a quarterly basis. With the big swings we have seen in the markets over
the last six months, it is easy for your portfolio to become out of balance. As an example, if you have a 70% stock
/ 30% bond portfolio and the stock portfolio drops 50% and the bonds stay even, your new weighting is 53% stock and 47% bonds.
This portfolio now needs to be rebalanced to your new target weighting. Some questions to ask:
a. Are you over-weighted in any one asset class?
b. Do you have too much
in company stock?
c. Do you need to have a more defensive portfolio given the times?
d. Should you add
to any sector that looks promising or reduce any sector?
e. How is my bond weighting?
f. What is my international
exposure?
Remember to rebalance your portfolio quarterly.
7. Annuity in your 401(k) or IRA rollover. At MaxOut Savings Advisors, LLC we have
more people come to us with annuities that they are unhappy with and cannot get out of than any other concern. Typically,
annuities are sold by the broker to collect a commission and people do not realize that they cannot get out of the annuity
for up to 10 years. In some cases, the penalty to get out of the annuity early is 10%. As a policy, Fidelity Investments
discourages investing in annuities in IRAs and most qualified plans. Every situation is different; generally however,
all you are doing by placing an annuity in an IRA or 401-k is increasing your fees. Fees for an annuity can run over
3-4% vs .75-1.5% for mutual funds, stocks and bonds. It is almost never a good idea to put an annuity in a qualified
plan.
8. Using 401(k) Plan as a Bank.
Using your 401(k) as a bank is an easy trap to fall into. It is rarely a good idea to borrow or get a loan from your 401(k).
Your 401(k) is your last line of defense for retirement. For most savers, our experience has been that finances are
generally tight until they look up at retirement and have over $1 million in their company plan. So do not touch your
401(k) plan until retirement and you will be grateful for the sacrifices you make now!
9. Forgetting to Rollover. Often times changing jobs is stressful
and hectic; we tend to not worry about the old 401(k) plan. When you change jobs, there are 5 things you can do with
your company plan:
a. Transfer Plan to new
company plan
b. IRA Rollover and consolidate with your IRA
c. Annuitization
d. Cash out or take
check
e. Leave it in the old plan
Once you
are settled in the new firm, move the old plan over to your new firm or roll it over into an IRA. An IRA Rollover is
a good way to consolidate your old 401(k) and company plans. Once the assets are consolidated in an IRA Rollover, they
are much easier to manage. An IRA Rollover can be set up at a bank, brokerage firm, or with an investment advisor.
10. Cashing Out at a Job Change. The quickest way
to wreck your savings program is to cash out of your old 401(k) when you change jobs. In addition to ruining your savings,
you will be taxed at ordinary income plus a 10% penalty.
11. Timing the Market.
It is rarely a good idea to time the stock market and very difficult to do successfully long term. Stick to asset allocation
and picking good quality mutual funds. If you are concerned about the markets, raise cash in percentages. This
way you are not making all in or all out decisions that could “freeze” up your decision making.
12. Too Aggressive or Too Conservative. Over-weighting
an investment could upset your investment portfolio if it were to go bad. A lesson that should be learned is that, no
matter how sure the investment appears, things can go wrong. At the same time all cash does little good long-term
for your portfolio. Remember to work to achieve a balance with your investments. Make sure that any one decision,
if it goes wrong, does not hurt your overall savings plan.
13. Investing
in the “Latest Fad” or Hot Mutual Fund. Stay away from the hottest mutual funds or stocks.
Many investors get caught up in the latest investment fads. Remember the Tech Bubble, Internet Bubble, or the Junk Bond
craze? These all ended with losses for investors. After one or two years, it is very difficult to repeat hot sector
performance.
14. Lacking an Investment
Plan. Most 401(k) investors have no 401(k) investment plan. Draw up an investment plan detailing percentage
asset allocation, when to rebalance (quarterly) and maximum weightings in an asset class. This can be as simple
as something on the back of an envelope or as complex as you want to make it. For example: 60% stocks, 40% bonds.
15. Have a Defensive Plan. In recent MaxOut Savings
Reports we talked about the Perfect Financial Storm and the need to build a castle for your investments. As an example,
set a stop loss at a certain price for an investment if it goes bad. A stop loss is a set order or mental stop you use to
sell if an investment goes against you to prevent further losses. You can set your stop losses at 10-20% or wherever
you feel comfortable with. It could be as simple as raising cash levels to 20% if you become worried about your plan
investments. The key here is to have a plan of some type and not freeze up like many did during the tech bubble collapse.
16. Lifestyle or Target Funds Know Your Risk. We are seeing
a proliferation of lifestyle or target retirement funds. A “lifestyle fund” is a fund that manages the risk of
your portfolio based on how far along the retirement path you are. As you get closer to retirement, they try to reduce
the risk, generally by buying bonds. Many people have met with us and have found that they have large losses in their
401k plan because they invested in these funds and did not understand the risks involved in the fund or the investments it
was making. You cannot just turn your savings over to a “lifestyle fund” and count on them to protect your
assets. The key to using these funds is to understand what is in them. What is the weighting of stock to bonds
in the fund? Take a look at the write up on the fund and that will give you an idea. Generally, the higher the bond
component the more stable the fund. We have found that some of these funds had too much exposure to high yield bonds
that led to large losses in addition to stock fund losses in the portfolio. In addition, some funds overweight bonds as your
retirement date approaches, forgetting that you have an average 25-year lifespan after retirement that you will need asset
growth. Bottom line: take a look at the target or lifestyle fund and know what they are investing in.
17. Goal 10% plus match. The biggest mistake in a
401(k) plan is not setting a high enough savings goal. According to a recent Fidelity Investments study of 401(k) plans,
the average savings rate was 7.0% for 2006, this is too low. For most people, your savings rate should be at
least 10% plus the company match.
Always
remember the key to a successful retirement plan:
Save Aggressively and Invest Conservatively!
If you are having problems or concerns, it is a good idea to get some help. A
good place to start is with your company contact for the 401(k) program. If they cannot help, they can point you in
the right direction.
Retiring soon? Now is the time to set
up an appointment with MaxOut Savings Advisors, LLC. At MaxOut Savings Advisors, LLC, we work every day managing investors’
401(k), IRA Rollover and Trust accounts. If you need help or would like MaxOut Savings Advisors, LLC to manage your
accounts, I would be happy to meet with you. Email us at ted@maxoutsavings.com or call us at 713-627-0400.
Printing Money: The March
toward Inflation
The Federal Reserve made some major changes in the latest announcement from the meeting of
the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting last week. They announced that they will buy $300 billion
of long term Treasury bonds over time. They also announced that they will purchase an additional
$750 billion of mortgage securities to help homeowners refinance their mortgages at lower rates. The $300
billion purchases of long term treasury bonds appears to be an attempt to drive long term interest rates lower.
This is a form of quantitative easing to loosen monetary conditions now that short term rates are almost at zero.
Several years ago, I participated in a radio interview with Robert Rubin, Former Secretary of the Treasury, in which
he pointed out that the Federal Reserve and the Treasury could control short term interest rates, but the control of long
term rates was much more problematic. We do not believe that it is possible for the Federal Reserve to
control long term rates for more than a short period of time.
Treasury
Plan to Save Banks?
This week, the Treasury announced a $1
trillion plan to remove toxic assets (bad loans) from the banks’ balance sheets. The program will consist of $100
billion in Treasury bank bailout funds and another $800 billion in lending from the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve
will lend the money to hedge funds and companies that buy the bad loans. The Federal Reserve will get a guarantee from
the FDIC backed by the Treasury if that makes you feel any better. This is the first instance that we know of that speculators
will be lent money by the Federal Reserve to make investments. This brings the total new contribution from the Federal
Reserve to $1.85 trillion that has been announced in the last two weeks. To put this into prospective the Federal Reserve
balance sheet in total was about $900 billion in September of 2008. This is why we have seen the sharp move up in the
stock market in the last ten days. The Federal Reserve has made it clear that they intend to print money to get us out
of this crisis. In the future, this will be inflationary in 2010-2011. This massive easing program by the Federal
Reserve combined with runaway federal spending by Congress and the Obama Administration will result in inflation that could
quickly get out of control over the next couple of years. We believe that the Fed and the Obama Administration is in
the process of starting to loose control of the spending, deficits and the money supply. We would use this rally in
the investment markets to position for much higher inflation over the longer term.
Little Progress on Deleveraging the Debt Bubble